Wednesday, May 12, 2010

A worrisome alliance

General elections in Britain were held not long ago, and unsurprisingly, the Conservative Party came out on top, but they failed to win enough seats to form a majority government, and despite the Labour Party losing 91 seats to finish a distant second, they could still form a coalition government with the third-place Liberal Democrat Party.

That didn't happen.

Yesterday, after succeeding in forming a coalition with the Liberal Democrats, Conservative leader David Cameron was officially appointed Prime Minister by Queen Elizabeth II, while now-former Prime Minister Gordon Brown resigned as head of Labour, ending what I would call a turbulent period of almost three years.

There is something about this latest news that bothers me: the Liberal Democrats.  I might be wrong here (I don't believe I am), but I've held the belief that the Liberal Democrats are a decidedly left-wing party in Britain.  It's been said disgruntled members of Labour who were not happy with their party's direction, that Labour isn't far enough to the Left, usually go to the Liberal Democrats.

If such is the case, how will a coalition between the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats work out?  It may sound good because it means Labour's reign as the majority party in Westminster is over after 13 years, but what will the new Prime Minister do?  Will he pursue a center-right agenda or will he wind up taking the Conservatives more to the Left?  And if Prime Minister Cameron does wind up taking his new agenda, and the Conservative Party, further to the Left, what chance will he have of staying at 10 Downing Street for long?

There's no doubt in my mind the reason for Labour to lose a net total of 88 seats is because Britons are fed up with Labour in charge, and the reason for the Conservatives to win a net total of 91 seats is because some of those same Britons want a center-right government in charge, not a center-left one.  The fact the Liberal Democrats gained three seats, the Welsh nationalist Plaid Cymru one seat, and (for the first time ever) the Green Party one seat, all from Labour, also shows discontent from the Left with Labour, but clearly the majority of discontent is from the Right.

If David Cameron's agenda ends up going leftward, I personally predict Conservatives will become disgruntled enough that they will defect to other parties, like the UK Independence Party (UKIP), and I also predict enough Conservative Members of Parliament (MPs) will rebel against Prime Minister's leadership that elections may be called for.  I hope for the best here, but I'm prepared for the worst.

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